The University of Pretoria Natural Hazard Centre, Africa provides expertise and research on natural hazards, particularly seismic hazards, that affect South Africa and neighbouring territories. The Centre offers a wide range of engineering geophysics, seismology and statistical solutions that are based on numerical and computing techniques, data analysis and applied statistical methods. A particular strength of the Centre is its ability to provide solutions for limited and incomplete data sets, based on strict mathematical and statistical modelling procedures. These modelling procedures are, however, universal and can be applied to data ranging from natural hazards to the financial field. Typical solutions include hazard and risk maps, damage curves and Monte Carlo-generated synthetic catalogues. The Centre also provides the following services to benefit the African insurance and reinsurance industry:
- Research and consultancy on natural perils, particularly seismic hazards that affect South Africa and neighbouring territories.
- Expert opinion on catastrophe modelling issues for the insurance market.
- Post-Event Reports covering natural catastrophes affecting South Africa.
- Presentations and short courses on catastrophe and financial modelling and research on natural perils that are of relevance to the industry.
The Centre unites various communities and serves as a hub of information for the engineering, disaster management and insurance industries. The Centre’s network of associates has extensive skills in earthquake hazard modelling, mining catastrophe, and flood and meteorological risk and can offer independent advice, opinion and analysis on all aspects of African natural perils.
The years of experience and expertise residing in the person of the Director of the Centre, Professor Andrzej Kijko, supplemented by the direct access the Centre has to, among others, the UP Departments of Insurance and Actuarial Science, Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, Statistics, Physics, Geology as well as Geography, Geoinformatics and Meteorology, provide a significant platform for the Centre’s pivotal role in Africa.