The University of Pretoria Natural Hazard Centre, Africa provides the following services to benefit the African insurance industry:
Research and consultancy on natural perils, particularly seismic hazards, that affect South Africa and neighbouring territories
Expert opinion on catastrophe modelling issues for the insurance market
Presentations on catastrophe and financial modelling and natural perils research of relevance to the industry
Research Projects by the Centre includes:
Ibero Maghreb Seismic Hazard Parameters and Synthetic Catalogue.
South Africa Earthquake Modelling.
Seismic Risk Assessment of 100 Largest Dams in South Africa.
Development of Methodology for Probabilistic Seismic and Risk Assessment based on Compound Distributions.
Analysis of Peak Ground Acceleration from Largest Earthquakes.
Attenuation Models for South Africa.
Probable Maximum Loss Calculation for Cape Town based on the Milnerton and Tulbagh-Ceres Earthquakes.
Probable Maximum Loss Calculation for Cape Town.
Area-Characteristic Seismic Hazard Analysis for the Durban CBD.
Seismic Hazard Analysis for Johannesburg
Comparison of Seismic Activity of Johannesburg Area during the Period 2000/01/01-2005/06/03 and 2005/07/01-2010/12/31 (Preliminary Results).
Everest RE: Seismic Risk Assessment for the Cresta Zones in South Africa.
Report on Vulnerability Assessment Methodologies (Phase I).
Site Effect Assessment for Major Metropolitan Cities in South Africa (Correction Term for the Modified Mercalli Intensity).
New Generation Synthetic Seismic Event Catalogue for South Africa.
Area-Characteristic Seismic Hazard for Harare, Zimbabwe.
Improved mmax Estimation Methodology.
Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis based on Largest Tsunami Observations – Theoretical Background.
Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis for Chile (based on largest earthquakes).
AngloGold Ashanti: Report on the Area Characteristic Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis for Six AGA Mines (Individually) as well as for the West Wits and Vaal Area.
2013 (current and completed projects)
Site-effect in Terms of Intensity for South Africa.
Seismic Hazard Assessment for Tsunami-Generating Areas that Potentially Threatens Coastal South Africa.
Seismic Hazard Parameters and Synthetic Seismic Event Catalogue for Eastern Africa.
Council for Geoscience: Perform Risk Assessment due to Seismic Activity for Different Types of Building Classes in the Johannesburg CBD.
Water Research Commission: Development of an Interactive Vulnerability Map and Preliminary Screening Level Monitoring Protocol for Assessing the Potential Environment Impact of Hydraulic Fracturing (UFS and ABNHC). – This is a project with the UFS.
New Generation of Probabilistic Seismic Hazard and Risk Map for South Africa.
Assessment of seismic hazard and risk in the eThikwini (Durban) Municipality.
Risk assessment due to seismic activity for different types of building classes in the Johannesburg CBD.
Operational risk: measurement inefficiencies and extreme loss modelling.
Probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment from incomplete historic catalogues: application in the Mediterranean region
Publications by the Centre include:
Saunders, I., M. Brandt, J. Steyn, D. Roblin, Kijko, A., (2008). The South African National Seismograph Network. Seismol.Research Letters, 79, Number 2, 203-210.
Singh, M., A. Kijko, Durrheim, R., (2009). Seismotectonic Models for South Africa. Synthesis of Geoscientific Information, Problems and Way Forward. Seismol. Research Letters, 89, Number 1, 71-80.
Tsapanos, T.M., Koravos, G.Ch., Zygouri, V., Tsapanos, M.T., Kortsari, A.N., Kijko, A., Kalogirou, E.E., (2011). Deterministic Seismic Hazard analysis for the city of Corinth-Central, Greece. Journal of Balkan Geophysical Society, 14, Number 1, 1-14.
Kijko, A. (2011) Seismic Hazard in Encyclopedia of Solid Earth Geophysics Vol 1 (1st Edition). Edited by H.K. Gupta. Springer. pp1107-1120.
Singh, M., Kijko, A., Van den Berg, L., (2011). Seismic Ranking for Large Dams in South Africa.ActaGeophysica, 59, Number 1, 72-90.
Heiderzadeh, M., Kijko, A., (2011). A probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment for the Makran subduction zone at the northwestern Indian Ocean. Nat Hazard. 56. 577-593.
Singh, M., Kijko, A., Durrheim, R., (2011). First-order regional seismotectonic model for South Africa. Nat Hazad. 59, Number 1, 383-400. DOI: 10.1007/s11069-011-9762-3.
Kijko, A., Singh, M., (2011). Statistical Tools for Maximum Possible Earthquake Magnitude Estimation. Acta Geophysica. 59, Number 4, 674-700.
Kijko, A., Smit, A., (2012). Extension of the b-value Estimator for Incomplete Catalogs. Bull. Seism. Soc. Am, 102, Number 3, 1283–1287. DOI: 10.1785/0120110226.
Kijko, A., (2012). On Bayesian procedure for maximum earthquake magnitude estimation.Research in Geophysics, 2, Number 1. http://www.pagepress.org /journals/index.php/rg [Research in Geophysics [eISSN 2038-9663] is a new Open Access, online-only, peer-reviewed journal published by PAGEPress, Pavia, Italy. All credits and honours to PKP for their OJS.]